Financial Risk Assessment and Expected Return Calculations
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Expected Returns and Risk Analysis
Suppose you won the lottery and had two options: (1) receiving $0.5 million or (2) taking a gamble in which, at the flip of a coin, you receive $1 million if a head comes up but receive zero if a tail comes up.
Lottery Decision Analysis
- a) What is the expected value of the gamble?
($1 million)(0.5) + ($0)(0.5) = $0.5 million - b) Would you take the sure $0.5 million or the gamble?
You would probably take the sure $0.5 million. - c) If you chose the sure $0.5 million, would that indicate that you are a risk averter or a risk seeker?
Risk averter.
Investment Scenarios: Bonds vs. Stocks
Suppose the payoff was actually $0.5 million and that was the only choice. You now face the choice of investing it in a U.S. Treasury bond... Continue reading "Financial Risk Assessment and Expected Return Calculations" »