Long-Run Phillips Curve, Natural Rate and Inflation Effects
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Long-Run Phillips Curve (LRPC)
In the long run, economists argue that there is no trade-off between inflation and unemployment. This view is largely influenced by the work of Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps, who introduced the concept of the Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU) or the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU).
Long-Run Mechanisms
- Natural Rate of Unemployment: The long-run unemployment rate is determined by factors such as labor market policies, minimum wages, and labor productivity. In the long run, unemployment tends to return to this natural rate, regardless of the rate of inflation.
- Monetary Policy and Expectations: In the long run, if a government tries to reduce unemployment below the natural rate by increasing