Portfolio Management and Investment Analysis
Classified in Economy
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1. Volatility of Returns
- Small company stocks
2. Christine's Return
P0= $42.40, P1= $38.20, Divd= 1.4%
- [(38.20-42.4)/42.4] + 0.014 = -8.51%
3. Scott's Annual Return
200 shares, P0= $48, n= 4 months, dividend= $0.22
HPR= -0.120
- Annual return= (1-0.120417)^(12/4)-1 = -31.95%
4. Annualized Return
Annual returns: 15%, 12%, -18%, 2%, 37%, n=5
- Standard deviation= 20.03%
5. Stock Return Range
Stock return= 14.6%, standard deviation= 19.2%, two-thirds of the time?
- -4.6% to 33.8%
6. Forecasting Returns
Historical dollar-weighted... If you want to forecast, the best:
- Arithmetic average return
7. Jeanette's Future Value
Investment= $12,000, n=4, arithmetic average= 8.72%, geometric average= 8.43%
- FV= 12,000(1+0.0843)^4 = $16,587
8. Black Stone's Geometric Average Return
Returns: 9%, 16%, -7%, 13%
- Geometric average= [(1+0.09)(1+0.16)(1-0.07)(1+0.13)]^(1/4) - 1= 7.36%
9. Dollar-Weighted Average Return
Rates of return for a risky portfolio...
- Dollar-weighted average= 0.74%
10. Investment Allocation
Investment= $10,000. Risky asset --> Return= 15%, standard deviation= 21%; T-Bill --> Return=5%. How much money should be invested in the risky asset for an expected return of 11%?
11%= (15%*r)+(5%*(1-r)) --> r= 60%
- 10,000*0.6 = $6,000
11. Portfolio Expected Return and Standard Deviation
70% in risky asset (return=15%, variance=0.05) + 30% in T-Bill (return=5%).
- E(r)= 0.7*0.15 + 0.3*0.05= 12%
- Standard deviation= 0.7 * (0.05)^(1/2) = 15.7%
12. Sharpe Measure
Standard deviation= 25%, Beta= 1.3, return= 15%, T-bills paying at 4.5%.
- (15-4.5)/25= 0.42
13. Degree of Risk Aversion
- Determines the optimal mix of the risk-free asset and optimal risky asset
14. Diversification Effectiveness
- Most effective when security returns are negatively correlated
15. Diversification Benefits
- Can be achieved as long as the correlation between securities is less than 1
16. Portfolio Standard Deviation
A --> standard deviation= 35%
B --> standard deviation= 15%
Correlation = 0.45, A= 40%, B= 60%.
- Portfolio standard deviation= 19.76%
17. Missing Information
18. Minimum Variance Portfolio
Stock standard deviation= 18%, Bond standard deviation= 11%. Correlation=0.24%.
- Approximate weight of stock fund in minimum variance portfolio= 21%
19. Zero Volatility Portfolio
Stock Boom and Stock Bust are perfectly negatively correlated. Their standard deviations are 24.495% and 9.798% respectively.
- Approximate weight of Stock Boom for a zero-volatility portfolio= 28%
20. Optimal Risky Portfolio
Risky portfolio:
A --> E(r)= 21%, standard deviation= 39%
B --> E(r)= 14%, standard deviation= 20%
Correlation=0.4, risk-free rate= 5%.
- Proportion of the optimal risky portfolio invested in B= 71%
21. Tobin's Separation Property
- Portfolio choice can be separated into two independent tasks: identifying the optimal risky portfolio and constructing a complete portfolio based on the investor's degree of risk aversion.
22. Portfolio Beta
Jonathan: (A 25%; 0.78), (B 40%; 0.85), (C 35%; 1.7)
- Portfolio Beta= 1.13
23. CAPM Beta
CAPM, risk-free rate= 5%, market return= 15%, E(r)= 12%
E(r)= risk-free rate + Beta(market return - risk-free rate)
- Beta= 0.7
24. CAPM and Fairly Priced Securities
- Fairly priced securities have zero alphas
25. Security Valuation with CAPM
Security X: expected return= 13%, beta= 1.5
- Security X is overpriced according to CAPM.
26. Excess Return
- The difference between the rate of return earned and the risk-free rate.
27. Security Market Line (SML)
- III and IV: Investors should accept any return located above the SML line. A beta of 0.0 indicates the risk-free rate of return.
28. Risk-Free Rate Calculation
Stock X: Beta=0.87, E(r)= 9.8%. Stock Y: Beta= 1.2, E(r)= 13.1%.
- Risk-free rate= 1.10%
29. Beta Calculation
Standard deviation of stock= 22.4%, covariance with market= 0.0169. Market standard deviation= 13.2%.
- Beta= covariance with the market / variance of the market = 0.97
30. Adjusted Beta
- An adjusted beta will be closer to 1 than the unadjusted beta.
31. Identical Treynor Ratios
- Implies that the securities earn identical rewards per unit of systematic risk.
32. Outperforming the Market
- Indicated by a positive Jensen's alpha.
33. Jensen's Alpha Calculation
Beta= 1.52, return= 13.7%. Risk-free rate=2.7%, market return= 7.8%.